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9.
Election
results and the Post-Electoral phases
i)
Contestations and Appeals
In
electoral matters, we know that justice is summary and definite, its
jurisdiction being confined to the electoral institutions. The
Subsidiary Electoral Tribunals (Jurados
Electorales Especiales / JEE) are first instances, and the
National Jury for Elections (Jurado
Nacional de Elecciones / JNE) is the second and instance of last
appeal. However, as previously mentioned, there are cases in which
appeal can be lodged with an international court.
During the past elections,
the JNE has understood that the summary legal remedies foreseen in
electoral matters are insufficient and therefore decided to accept all
kinds of ordinary appeals. This may be seen as the principal factor in
the delays produced between the first and second round of the
presidential elections. The legal tendency to extend guarantees to
satisfy all parties concerned prevailed over the interest of the
public in a fast vote count, especially considering the present period
of political transition. The government did not hide its worry about
the negative effect such delay could cause both at the international
and domestic level, but the present electoral system does not provide
for any political mandate of the executive to interfere with the
electoral administration, even if it were for concerns of the general
public.
The
JNE was conscious of its lassitude in the admission of contestations.
For the second round, it has given the JEEs specific instructions to
follow the strict legal time frame and other stipulations for
electoral recourse and to leave all further legal openings to the JNE
in its proceedings on appeals. In consequence, the electoral justice
during the second round has been faster. The main reason for this of
course, were the early recognition of the electoral result by the
loser and hence a notably lower number of contestations.
The
Constitution establishes that decisions by the JNE are not litigable
(i.e. without appeal). The Constitution also specifies that “it
judges the facts with conscientious criteria”. It can hardly be
otherwise when votes that are not contested by the political
representative at the mesa,
are destroyed on site. Justice imparted by JNE is constrained to the
necessarily arbitrary option among the discrepancies of the different
original copies of the voting records. Due to this, the JNE failed to
generate trust among the parties despite the extension of legal
recourse.
There
have been cases in the parliamentary vote of 8 April that point in
that direction. The most symptomatic is the one concerning the last
Congress seat for the Department of Ancash which was disputed between
the second strongest political force (APRA) and the fourth list (FIM).
The JEE assigned this seat to the FIM through a recurso
de reposicion (appeal for reconsideration of judgement) which in
theory was not applicable, but was in this case conceded. APRA
appealed to the JNE, and the latter annulled the recurso
de reposicion. Furthermore, even though it is not contemplated in
the constitution and is not within its competence, the JNE submitted
an expertise stating that one of the figures and a signature on a
record favourable to the FIM had been falsified. On the other hand,
the undersigned insisted that the signature was his own. The result
has been that FIM has not accepted the last resolution of the JNE and
adopted measures of public protest. In view of the characteristics of
the case, the possibility of appealing to the Inter-American Court for
Human Rights is being considered by the FIM-party.
ii)
The General Elections of 8 April and 3 June: Results
After an unusual delay of 43
days, final official results of the first electoral round were
submitted by ONPE and JNE on the evening of 21 May. While the definite
outcome of the presidential vote had been unofficially known for
weeks, official proclamation hinged upon the complicated counting
mechanism and the numerous legal claims in the aftermath of the
congressional vote, which had been attached to the presidential ballot
sheet. Accordingly, also the definition for the date of the run-off
election - which finally was set for 3 June – had not been possible
until 22 May.
The overall distribution of
the presidential vote in the 8 April elections corresponded roughly to
the survey-based predictions, but they brought the surprise of Alan
Garcia surpassing Lourdes Flores by some 1,5 percentage points, thus
eliminating her as a contender in the second round. This reflected a
steady progression of Mr. Garcia in public recognition during the last
weeks of his campaign.
Results
of the presidential vote on 8 April 2001
|
|
voters
|
%
|
|
Toledo
/ Peru Posible
|
3.871.167
|
36.5
|
|
García
/ APRA
|
2.732.857
|
25.8
|
|
Flores
/ Unidad Nacional
|
2.576.653
|
24.,3
|
|
Olivera
/ FIM
|
1.044.207
|
9.9
|
|
Boloña
|
179.243
|
1.7
|
|
Galvez
/Renac. Andino
|
85.436
|
0.8
|
|
Arrunatégui
/ Proy. País
|
79.077
|
0.7
|
|
Noriega
/ Todos por la victoria
|
33.080
|
0.3
|
|
Valid
votes total
|
10.601.720
|
|
|
null
and void votes
|
402.436
|
3.3
|
|
blank
votes
|
1.260.193
|
10.3
|
The run-off contest (3 June)
presented the picture of a relatively close result between Alejandro
Toledo and Alan Garcia. Already by end of May, the two contenders had
regularly moved closer together, to the point of pre-electoral survey
results indicating the possibility of a very tight squeeze; a
difference of only 3 percentage points in favour of Toledo would
indeed have created a psychologically difficult situation for the new
government.-
As it turned out, a 6.16%
advantage separates president-elect Toledo from the opposition
candidate. Both had been able to considerably enlarge their voter
reservoirs with respect to the 8 April vote, Alan Garcia showing the
stronger gains .
Toledo:
from 3.871 mio. top 5.527 mio (+ 1.656 mio.)
García:
from 2.732 mio. to 4.887 mio. (+ 2.155 mio.)
Results
of the run-off election (3 June 2001)
|
|
votes
|
%
|
|
Alejandro
Toledo
|
5.527.306
|
53.08
|
|
Alan
García
|
4.886.518
|
46.92
|
|
valid
votes
|
10.413.824
|
(100.0)
|
|
null
and void votes
|
1.334.248
|
11.1
|
|
blank
votes
|
331.277
|
2.8
|
After the final count Peru
Posible appears as clearly established in the Andean and trans-Andean
departments as well as in the Southern coastal areas (strongholds with
over 60% of vote: Loreto, Arequipa, Cusco, Huancavelica) In all,
Toledo obtained majorities in 17 of the 24 departments. APRA gained
majorities in 7 departamentos and confirmed its traditional stronghold
along the Northern and Central Pacific coast, plus the newly gained
Amazonas Department (strongholds are: La Libertad, ICA, Piura, and
Callao).
Voter
turn-out
As discussed in a different
context of this report, electoral participation being mandatory,
Peruvian elections have usually presented a comparatively high voter
turn-out of more than 80% on average. During the 8 April vote, 2,64
mio. abstained (17,7%) and (not yet official) figures for the run-off
on 3 June indicate an abstention rate of 22.7% (2.73 mio. voters), a
relatively high number, if confirmed.
This development must be seen
in the context of a prolonged campaign between the first and second
round in favour of the protest vote, be it in the form of blank
ballots or invalidated (viciado)
ballots, as noted in Chapter 6 of the present report. For a time, voter intentions had indicated inclinations of
over 30% of voters in favour of such a form of protest. It can be
interpreted as a sign of normality that finally 2.8% blank and 11.1%
void ballots were submitted, but the attitude may have been reflected
in a higher abstention rate. Particular care will have to be taken
within the future Peruvian political set-up to win back for active
participation the roughly one third of the registered voting public
which this time had decided to step aside.
The
Parliamentary election
The vote for a renewed
Congress (8 April 2001) replaces a Parliament, elected under the old
regime, which has had a life span of just over a year. All in all,
1340 candidates entered the contest for the 120 congressional seats.
In metropolitan Lima alone there were 455 candidates for the 35 seats
attributed to the capital region.
The following table shows how
the political “re-adjustment” has dramatically changed the
composition of congress , and partly restructured the party system
itself.
Parliamentary Elections:
Composition of Congress in 2001 (and, for comparison, after the
elections of April 2000)
|
|
|
|
Number
of seats in congress after elections in:
|
|
Parties / electoral
alliances
|
number of valid votes
obtained
|
% of valid votes
|
2000
|
2001
|
% representation in
congress
|
|
Peru
Posible
|
2.458.267
|
25.1
|
29
|
45
|
37.6
|
|
PAP
(APRA)
|
1.845.390
|
19.1
|
6
|
28
|
23.3
|
|
Unidad
Nacional
|
1.296.507
|
13.1
|
--
|
17
|
14.2
|
|
FIM
|
1.027.564
|
11.3
|
9
|
11
|
9.2
|
|
UPP/SI
|
398.271
|
4.6
|
3
|
6
|
5.0
|
|
Somos
Perú
|
541.092
|
6.2
|
9
|
4
|
3.3
|
|
Cambio
90 NM 2001
|
446.630
|
4.8
|
3
|
3
|
2.5
|
|
Acción
Popular
|
391.903
|
4.1
|
52
|
3
|
2.5
|
|
Todos
por Victoria
|
190.216
|
1.9
|
--
|
1
|
0.8
|
|
Solución
Popular
|
335.066
|
3.5
|
--
|
1
|
0.8
|
|
Renacimiento
Andino
|
127.550
|
1.3
|
--
|
1
|
0.8
|
|
FREPAP
|
155.783
|
1.6
|
--
|
--
|
--
|
|
Proyecto
País
|
154.153
|
1.6
|
--
|
--
|
--
|
|
Otros
|
|
1.8
|
9
|
--
|
--
|
|
|
9.793.892
|
100.0
|
120
|
120
|
100
|
As a result, the new
political group Peru Posible of President-elect Toledo has become the
prime political force in the country (45 seats) but falls short of a
majority. Second in strength is APRA which thus has received an
unexpectedly strong mandate to represent the parliamentary opposition.
Notable are the variations
between the percentages of ballots obtained and the relative
representation in Congress. In general, the major parties have drawn a
stronger representation in congress from the special voting procedure
(“preferential vote”), while small parties tend to come out
under-represented.
Of particular significance is
the clear rejection voters have reserved for the remnants of the
political forces surrounding the Fujimori-regime. Instead of the 52
seats they had obtained in 2000, they are now reduced to three
Parliamentary representatives (for the alliance Cambio 90/Nueva
Mayoria 2001) and one for Solución Popular.
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